CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%. Front page of China Securities Journal: Give better play to the role of "stabilizer". The reform of the investment side of the capital market has been solidly promoted. The front page of China Securities Journal stated that efforts should be made to break through the blocking points of social security, insurance, wealth management and other funds entering the market, steadily promote the reform of industry rates in Public Offering of Fund, and vigorously develop equity funds, especially indexed investment ... Recently, the reform of the investment side has been accelerated, helping to improve the function of the capital market in which investment and financing are coordinated. Market participants expect that in the next stage, around the key directions such as guiding "long money" to enter the market, enriching the product system, and promoting the development of indexed investment, the reform of the investment side will continue to be solidly promoted, and more new measures are expected to be researched and introduced, which will introduce more incremental funds to the market and better play its role as a "stabilizer" of the market. The market expects that the acceleration of investment-side reform will significantly increase the scale and proportion of medium and long-term capital investment, promote the long-term investment behavior and enhance the inherent stability of the capital market.
Most ETFs in the US stock market closed up, with semiconductor ETFs rising by over 2.4%, Broadcom by over 6.6% and NVIDIA by over 3.1%. On Wednesday (December 11th), semiconductor ETFs closed up by 2.45%, Internet stock index ETF rose by over 2%, global aviation ETF, optional consumer ETF, technology industry ETF and global technology stock index ETF rose by 1.81%-1.17%. Semiconductor concept stocks rose almost across the board, Broadcom rose by 6.63%, NVIDIA Double Long ETF rose by more than 6.1%, Laidisi Semiconductor rose by more than 5.9%, NVIDIA rose by 3.14%, while Intel, Cisco, stmicroelectronics ADR and Chipscreen fell by 0.2%-0.65%.SNB: It is estimated that the GDP of Switzerland will be about 1.0% in 2024 (previously predicted to be about 1.0%).Japanese enterprise survey: Enterprises believe that Trump's next presidential term will have a negative impact on the business environment, and 60% of Japanese enterprises expect that the trading range of USD/JPY will be between 140 and 150 by 2025. Half of Japanese companies expect higher profits in the next fiscal year.
Fund researchers bluntly said: the era of monetary fund lying and winning is over. Shanghai thought that unnamed fund researchers bluntly said that the era of monetary fund lying and winning is over. A person from a fund company in South China said that the continuous decline in the yield of money funds means that the impact of rates is becoming more and more important. Since the beginning of this year, many money funds have announced fee reductions. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)The position ETF--iShares Silver Trust, the world's largest silver ETF, decreased by 179.98 tons compared with the previous day, and the current position is 14,414.25 tons.The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14